Zajimavosti

[Vlkodlak]

https://www.theguardian.com/money/20...aundering-laws

jak banky snizuji riziko aml a jak Mohammad malem nedostal svoje penize.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

https://blog.indiesquare.me/the-new-...9e0#.kesyvwsh9<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[McGregor]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D93All9Kso8<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Vlkodlak]

https://www.milesfranklin.com/out-wi...-with-the-new/

U.S. household debt rose by a whopping $460 billion in 2016, taking it to essentially the same level as the all-time high of early 2008, just before the biggest financial crisis in generations

Nějakej katastrofickej scénář<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[sstealth]

takých scenárov a grafov je kopa na zerohedge každý deň (takže slabá smerodajnosť, keďže zerohedge predpovedá 10 kríz ročne a trafí sa raz za 10 rokov), kde to už rok sledujem, súvislosti medzi 2008 a teraz, hlavne študentské požičky, car loans, credit card debt, mortgage debt

2002 dot com bubble, 2008 mortgage bubble, 2016 central banks bubble

takisto U.S. National Debt Clock : Real Time zachvíľu prekročí 20 triliónov

podstatný bude FED rate hike tri krát tento rok (ale nepovedalo sa či o 0,25 či 0,5 či viac)
a hlavne január 2018 kedy končí Janet Jellen

často sa recesia spúštala za prvý polrok nového prezidenta, ktorý sa mohol vyhovoriť na predchádzajuceho, to trump asi už nevyužije

Stojíme na prahu ďalšej zásadnej krízy (2017) - Prof. Ing. Peter Staněk, CSc https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSie7f3SEKM - kríza tento rok, najneskôr Q1 2018

staněk prednáška https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wqx31dtg97A<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Vlkodlak]

https://localbitcoins.com/forums/#!/...ding-cash-robb

Něco z bitcoinový první linie. Tak schválně, kdo tipujete, že je ten scammer?

tady je, co řiká ten druhý: https://localbitcoins.com/forums/#!/...eze-my-account<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

tipuju ze scammer je ten #2 jen z analyzy textu (po precteni je to myslim jasny). Ten text je min emotivni, v takovejhle situacich byva pravda tam, kde clovek NEodpovida jako robot.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Vlkodlak]

Jako celek to vůbec nesedí, zloděj, kterýmu se něco nepodaří ukrást, se nebude takhle veřejně snažit, psát na fóra a volat dotyčnýmu, ale prostě se otočí, zmizí a zkusí to někde jinde. Navíc v situaci, kdy mají svůj cash, takže nic neztrácí. To mě taky zarazilo, to že oni přinesli cash, protože takovyhle typy lidí mají velký problém udržet věčí sumu peněz, vetšinou to končí v bednách nebo koupí fetu apod.

I say: You know what you are not getting nothing, you beat me and stole my money, after i released the Bitcoins to you.
You have nothing now mate, that s why you called. So get on your bike because you are not going to do nothing.
Him: Listen here i know a lot of people in the Bitcoin industry I know verified traders. Tohle prostě nesedí, že nic nemá, prostě ten člověk nemá důvod mu volat.

Vizitka od policie...nevim jak to chodí v uk, ale v čechách dávají protokol se štemplem o oznámení deliktu:

They reply :
Sorry but a card from a Police officer is no proof of your claims.

No a hlavně ten Escrow...Oni chtěli Escrow i když oni předávají cash, na který se nevztahuje a navíc je dost jistý, že právě díky němu ty btc nedostanou.

Tipuju, že ten první chtěl Escrow a že tam je nějáký druhý vlákno, jako třeba, že byly dohodnutý ještě na nečem jiném a on se je právě díky tomu escrow pokusil vydírat. Ale veřim tomu, že to pro toho #1 byl dost emotivní zážitek, a proto to takhle podává.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

https://themerkle.com/nigerian-banke...alize-bitcoin/<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

tezko rict jakou pouzivat metriku, ale bitcoin prave dosahuje totalniho maxima na zapadnich dolarovych burzach<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

https://www.sec.gov/comments/sr-bats...495-132335.pdf
cca od te doby prisel ten posledni run<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[elmagico72]

https://www.sec.gov/comments/sr-bats...495-132335.pdf
cca od te doby prisel ten posledni run

Hmmm, Cameron & Tyler Winklevoss... to su ti borci z Harvardu co sa sudili s Marcom Zuckerbergom o tom ze im ukradol napad na zalozenie Facebooku

Nejak sa stale motaju okolo niecoho co ma value<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

no takhle,asi to uplne nesledujes
oni ten ETF fond chteji zalozit uz asi 3 roky a SEC to stale odklada
ted uz je asi x tej deadline pro to schvaleni ETF
sance ze to vyjde je dog jak prase, ale vsichni nad tim slintaji a pokud se to nahodou schvali (neverim tomu asi jako trumpovi, ale value to ma), tak cena btc pujde fakt nekam dost jinam

jakoze rekneme ze po schvaleni ETF po odezneni runu a backfire bude cena 5000 btc/usd (od oka muze to byt o dost min nebo vic)
sance na schvaleni ETF je 5% v rozumnem case
cena bitcoinu je 1000 usd
fajn rekneme ze trh je pro tradewinda efektivni (neni a u btc uz vubec ne, ale pomijime)
no a ted prijde nejaky memorandum o schuzce, ktery rekneme zvedne sanci o 5% bodu, tj. na 10% (toho 14.2.)
rekneme ze tech 5% se podili na cene btc z 20% (nejak odvozuju cast podzimniho runu na vrub etf), tj. 5% sance je 200 usd na kurzu
zvyseni o 5% je pak dalsich 200 usd na bitcoin navic ke kurzu

opakuju ty cisla jsou streleny od boku tak nejak, ale je to proste promitnuti pravdepodobnosti ty binarni budouci udalosti do dnesni ceny<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[barchen]

no takhle,asi to uplne nesledujes
oni ten ETF fond chteji zalozit uz asi 3 roky a SEC to stale odklada
ted uz je asi x tej deadline pro to schvaleni ETF
sance ze to vyjde je dog jak prase, ale vsichni nad tim slintaji a pokud se to nahodou schvali (neverim tomu asi jako trumpovi, ale value to ma), tak cena btc pujde fakt nekam dost jinam

jakoze rekneme ze po schvaleni ETF po odezneni runu a backfire bude cena 5000 btc/usd (od oka muze to byt o dost min nebo vic)
sance na schvaleni ETF je 5% v rozumnem case
cena bitcoinu je 1000 usd
fajn rekneme ze trh je pro tradewinda efektivni (neni a u btc uz vubec ne, ale pomijime)
no a ted prijde nejaky memorandum o schuzce, ktery rekneme zvedne sanci o 5% bodu, tj. na 10% (toho 14.2.)
rekneme ze tech 5% se podili na cene btc z 20% (nejak odvozuju cast podzimniho runu na vrub etf), tj. 5% sance je 200 usd na kurzu
zvyseni o 5% je pak dalsich 200 usd na bitcoin navic ke kurzu

opakuju ty cisla jsou streleny od boku tak nejak, ale je to proste promitnuti pravdepodobnosti ty binarni budouci udalosti do dnesni ceny

Někde jsem čet o šanci na schválení cca 25 procent.

tady se na to dá dokonce sázet
https://www.bitmex.com/app/trade/COIN_BH17<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

asi pruser: https://medium.com/@octal/cloudbleed...165#.xy5ndu81n<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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