Betting Tipsters*- How to Pick a Betting Tipster and Avoid the Monkeys

There’s about a 1 in 40 chance of a 50% handicapper doing that. So a player with 400 selections would need to go 220-180, or 60-40 with 100 selections to be this rare.
Co z toho plyne? Ze z pickeru, co maji 400 tipu nekde potichu a nepovsimnuto odpadne 39 a ten 40tej jde vesele vytrubovat do sveta, ze se na Olympu prave nazral s Bohy a Dedicem.

To je ten popsany Survivorship Bias. Termin co bysme si asi meli zapamatovat.