LUCAASH!!!

[lucaash]

16/01/2009

Bucks @ Kings

Dnes prichazi uder na podhodnocene Sacramento, ktere podava v plne sile vyborne vykony, kdyz do Arco Areny zavita Milwaukee Bucks. V Arco Arene nevyhrali Bucks od roku 2004.

Sledoval jsem posledni zapas Bucks v. Miami + zapas v. Nets. Klicovym temamtem by si urcite zaslouzil byt Charlie Villanueva, ktery podal vynikajici vykon proti Nets, aby hned nasledujici zapas jeho minuty dramaticky klesly z 33 na 19, v dalsim zapasu opet vyborny vykon z lavicky s minutami 25 a proti Miami pouhych 12min. Neumim si vysvetlit tento tah. Vim-li, ze mam v tymu zhaveho hrace, ktery dokaze podavat v teto chvili konsistentni vykony z lavicky, az nadprumerne, nedam mu sanci se prokazat. Ze je Villanueva vybornym hracem nam dokazal uz nekolikrat v minulych sezonach. Takze prvni klicovy moment a problem tohoto zapasu proti Kings jsem nastinil. Druhy fakt a podhodnoceni domacich Kings pri slabe hre Bucks na pude soupere, kde se stavaji polovicnimi a pokud nahodou drzi vyrovnany zapas, ztrati ho v zaveru zapasu. Treti fakt, vyborne strilici Sacramento, produkujici styl "run & gun", s timto aspektem Bucks nemohou Kings celit v teto chvili. Dalsi fakt, nekonsistentnost Buck a slaba obrana, coz je velkym uskalim v jejich snazeni se o vitezstvi. Posledni zapas proti Miami a dalsi fakt, slaba strelba za hranici 3pts. Z down town 3/14, proti vyborne strilicimu Sacramentu.

Zda-li jsem Kings v poslednich vyteznych picks pouze lehtal, pak tento pick popichnu. Pokud Kings pomysli na PO, musi zabrat na plne obratky uz pred All Star a tvrde na soupere nastoupit od zacatku, az do konce. Takovy scenar dnes vidim jako vitezny. Fakt, ze Kings byli usazeni do podoby underdogs nam pridava v picku velke value.

Kings ML <div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[lucaash]

Vim, ze se tu konkurence nebojite a proto bych rad upozornil na BT Bettingtrust.com. Ne z pohledu propagovani fora, protoze takove myslenky uz v me hlave nesrsi v prehnanem meritku. Nemate se ceho bat, mame cinnou jen sekci NBA, jejiz obsah svych picks Vam sem posilam ve stejne podobe, ale na co jsem chtel upozornit, protoze vim, ze Vam jde stejne jako mne o penize a profit, Sekce Barclays Premier League, kde se mi podarilo presvedcit cloveka, ktery si sve nepreberne statistiky drzel pod poklickou a nechtelo se mu prichazet na svet se svymi postrehy. Ma u nas teprve druhe kolo, prvni se vydarilo na 100%. Ma v hlave vyborne myslenky, obcas by rad predesel nekolik roku kupredu a dokopal lidi do svych projektu. Kazdopadne, stylisticky jsou jeho uvahy ctive a dulezite je, ze picks jsou uz po leta uspesne. Verim, ze s nim dokazeme profit zvysit.

Pokud je tento komentar nevhodny nebo se nehodi, prosim o okamzite smazani nebo prerazeni do sekce, v ktere by byl povolitelny.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

pekna analyza
s timhle nesouhlasim v cca 22:00 pm abych upresnil...
SAC je jiz favorit (tj. gratuluju k posunu lajny, to bylo vystizene pekne)a to je hlavni duvod proc je ted nedoporucuju sazet
druhy duvod je, ze jsem je videl s NOH a byla to naprosta fraska... mozna je to nejak nakopne, ale ten team proste pod kosem nema absolutne nikoho na obranu a s timhle na PO nemaji sanci, v tom bych vyuzil cast lucaashovy analyzy ... SAC ma slabinu pod kosem ne z downtownu
MILW ma na PO sanci tez, tzn.motivace bude velika, je pravda, ze jak SAC urvali vitezstvi v GSW bylo impozantni a pro me necekane
co se Milw tyce, neni to popularni team, na streamu ho nevidam, ale veril bych formulovi,pro nejz je to ted hot team basketball/nba-playoff-sleeper-bucks-t1432.html

uvidime.. jde jen o nazory, doufam ze se nezhadame, tesim se na zapas a rozhodne ho nesazim,krome nejakeho overu podle prubehu<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

MONEYLINES
01/16 09:06AM: -120 / +110
01/16 09:06AM: -120 / +110
01/16 09:11AM: -122 / +112
01/16 09:11AM: -122 / +112
01/16 09:17AM: -120 / +110
01/16 09:17AM: -120 / +110
01/16 09:26AM: -117 / +107
01/16 09:26AM: -117 / +107
01/16 09:46AM: -122 / +112
01/16 09:46AM: -122 / +112
01/16 09:49AM: -127 / +117
01/16 09:49AM: -127 / +117
01/16 11:08AM: -121 / +111
01/16 11:12AM: -117 / +107
01/16 11:13AM: -117 / +107
01/16 11:20AM: -110 / +100
01/16 11:21AM: -110 / +100
01/16 11:21AM: -103 / -107
01/16 11:22AM: -103 / -107
01/16 11:23AM: -105 / -105
01/16 11:23AM: -105 / -105
01/16 11:25AM: -106 / -104
01/16 11:26AM: -101 / -109
01/16 11:26AM: -101 / -109
01/16 11:32AM: -103 / -107
01/16 11:32AM: -103 / -107
01/16 11:39AM: -105 / -105
01/16 11:39AM: -102 / -108
01/16 11:40AM: -102 / -108
01/16 11:51AM: -104 / -106
01/16 11:52AM: -104 / -106
01/16 01:24PM: -107 / -103
01/16 01:25PM: -106 / -104
01/16 01:25PM: -106 / -104
01/16 01:52PM: -101 / -109
01/16 02:08PM: -101 / -109
01/16 03:11PM: -102 / -108
01/16 03:11PM: -102 / -108
01/16 03:12PM: -101 / -109
01/16 03:12PM: -101 / -109
01/16 03:15PM: +101 / -111
01/16 03:15PM: +101 / -111
01/16 03:50PM: -101 / -109
01/16 03:50PM: -101 / -109

POINTSPREADS
01/15 04:03PM: -2½ -105 / +2½ -105
01/15 04:04PM: -2½ -105 / +2½ -105
01/15 06:13PM: -2 -102 / +2 -108
01/15 06:13PM: -2 -102 / +2 -108
01/15 06:24PM: -2 +101 / +2 -111
01/15 06:24PM: -2 +101 / +2 -111
01/15 07:24PM: -2 +103 / +2 -113
01/15 07:24PM: -2 +103 / +2 -113
01/15 07:34PM: -2 +100 / +2 -110
01/15 07:34PM: -2 +100 / +2 -110
01/15 11:16PM: -2 -103 / +2 -107
01/15 11:16PM: -2 -103 / +2 -107
01/16 06:32AM: -2 -102 / +2 -108
01/16 06:32AM: -2 -102 / +2 -108
01/16 09:17AM: -2 +101 / +2 -111
01/16 09:17AM: -2 +101 / +2 -111
01/16 09:46AM: -2 -104 / +2 -106
01/16 09:46AM: -2 -104 / +2 -106
01/16 09:49AM: -2 -108 / +2 -102
01/16 09:49AM: -2 -108 / +2 -102
01/16 11:08AM: -2 -106 / +2 -104
01/16 11:08AM: -2 -103 / +2 -107
01/16 11:12AM: -2 +101 / +2 -111
01/16 11:13AM: -2 +101 / +2 -111
01/16 11:18AM: -2 +103 / +2 -113
01/16 11:20AM: -1 -105 / +1 -105
01/16 11:21AM: -1 +100 / +1 -110
01/16 11:21AM: -1 +102 / +1 -112
01/16 11:22AM: -1 +102 / +1 -112
01/16 11:22AM: -1 +100 / +1 -110
01/16 11:23AM: -1 +100 / +1 -110
01/16 11:25AM: -1 -101 / +1 -109
01/16 11:25AM: -1 -101 / +1 -109
01/16 11:26AM: -1 +104 / +1 -114
01/16 11:26AM: -1 +104 / +1 -114
01/16 11:34AM: -1 +102 / +1 -112
01/16 11:38AM: -1 +100 / +1 -110
01/16 11:39AM: -1 +103 / +1 -113
01/16 11:39AM: -1 +103 / +1 -113
01/16 11:51AM: -1 +101 / +1 -111
01/16 11:52AM: -1 +101 / +1 -111
01/16 01:25PM: -1 -101 / +1 -109
01/16 01:25PM: -1 -101 / +1 -109
01/16 01:52PM: -1 +104 / +1 -114
01/16 02:08PM: -1 +104 / +1 -114
01/16 03:11PM: +1 -107 / -1 -103
01/16 03:11PM: +1 -107 / -1 -103
01/16 03:12PM: +1 -106 / -1 -104
01/16 03:12PM: +1 -106 / -1 -104
01/16 03:50PM: +1 -108 / -1 -102
01/16 03:50PM: +1 -108 / -1 -102
01/16 04:05PM: +1 -107 / -1 -103
01/16 04:06PM: +1 -107 / -1 -103<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Formula]

In light of the price action that Orbital has kindly documented for us, I would suggest there is no value in the current price for Sacramento. If you got Sacramento at better than +100 you hold a nice bet but otherwise I would stay away.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

druhy duvod je, ze jsem je videl s NOH a byla to naprosta fraska...

myslel jsem samozrejme ORLANDO
jsem debil na jmena, jak lidi tak teamu
btw ORL je ultra hot ted<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Jendrul]

Orbi napsal:

btw ORL je ultra hot ted

Souhlas,navic je to muj tym,dodnes vzpominam na jejich mače s Houstonem ve finale NBA pred lety,kua myslim v 95,to uz mi prijde jako 100let,tehdy jsem mel rad Pennyho Hardawaye...soucasny tym se mi taky libi...Magics jsou hot,ale co ten Detroit predvadi,to mi hlava nebere...<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

heh, o Detroitu sem tu na chatu psal, ze dnes/vcera prohraje..
nejvetsi slabina ORL jsou FT Howarda, to je udes sledovat, lip je snad hazu i ja<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Jendrul]

No skoda,ze jsem na tom chatu nebyl,mozna bys me odradil(i kdyz ja mam svou hlavu),ja dal prave magics a detroit a diky pistons jsem mel vcera v noci jen mikroprofit...
jinak kdyby na tebe vypsali slusny Hcp,tak bych si na tebe proti Dwightovi asi i vsadil...<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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