US Open

dnes se opet strasne nudim,a protoze nabidka je velmi chuda a tezko vybira ,rozhodl jsem se opet necim malym prispet do mlyna.Analyzy na fotbalek se prilis neprosadili ,takze jsem se rozhodl dnes pro tenis.
Zacal nam posledni grandslamovy turnaj sezony,jedna se pro nektere hrace o vrchol letosni sezony ,protoze ne vsichni budou pokracovat evropskymi halami ,ale udelaji si volnejsi konec tenisoveho roku.

Michail Juznyj (54) - Nicolas Massu (41)
chtel bych hned na zacatku upozornit sazejici ,ze se nejedna o zadny jasny zapas ,ale spise utkani v nemz jsem se snazil najit urcitou hodnotu.
24-lety rusky tenista neproziva tento rok stastne (tenisove )obdobi.Jeho pout turnaji se vetsinou konci po nekolika zapasech a to i se souperi ,ktere by v dobe nedavno minule s prehledem porazel.Pokles formy je snadno videt i z jeho stats... letos 18-18 ,na hardu 7-7 (celkove 54-48), a podle meho nazoru by opet rad navazal na statistiky z let predeslych.Charakteristika tohoto hrace neni jednoducha, jedna se o vsestraneho tenistu ,ktery predvadel vyborne vykony na vsech povrsich.Jenze jako rada jinych ruskych tenisovych hracu trpi nevyrovnanosti svych vykonu ,kterou ja osobne pricitam spise horsi psychicke odolnosti a naladovosti hrace.Uderove nevidim zadnou zasadnejsi slabinu,a kdyz k tomu pripoctu velmi kvalitni pohyb po dvorci,vychazi mi z teto rovnice tenista velmi dobre tenisove tridy.Jeho hru lze charakterizovat jako konstatni hru od zakladni cary,jedine co v ni postradam jsou obcasne vylety nasit.V turnaji v 1.kole vyradil HRBATEHO coz se da povazovat za nadejny vysledek, a navic vcera porazil ( spolu s FRIEDLEM) ve 4-hre dvojici Malisse/Bhupathi coz je velmi kvalitni vysledek.
Chilsky vitez olympijskeho turnaje je s vyvojem sve letosni vykonnosti urcite spokojen,protoze hlavni antukova sezona se mu vydarila a na hardu taky nepropadl a travu u tohoto typu hrace neberu jako meritko (letos 0-2,celkove5-8).Jeho letosni cisla rozhodne nejsou k zahozeni celkove 35-22 ,na hardu 7-7 (remizka jako u Michaila) celkove hard 54-51.Predpokladam ze hodne lidi vidi Nicolase jako vylozeneho antukare,cemuz napovidaji jeho vysledky ovsem i na hardu se dokazal prosadit proti kvalitnim hracum tenisove tour.Pravda antuka je jeho nejsilnejsi povrch a prizpusobil tomu i celkovou hru podlozenou trpelivou hrou od zakladni cary s dlouhymi vymenami a postavenou na dobre fyzicke pripravenosti.Uderove vidim mensi nedostatky na backhandu (coz by se mohlo na hardu projevit),a za zminku urcite stoji jeho variabilni servis s pestrym rejstrikem jeho provedeni (od fastu,rotovanych,a dobre umistenych ... a jinych).V prnim kole vyprovodil z kurtu SANGUINETTIHO 3-1 na sety,po vyrovnanem prubehu zapasu,a navic vcera ve 4-hre(se stalym partakem FG) postoupili do dalsiho kola pres dvojici Ljubicic/Vico.Vysledek ze 4-hry bych rozhodne nejak neprecenoval ,protoze prejet hrace ktery prohral v 1.kole dvouhry dalsi den 12-3 povazuji spise za odevzdany zapas.
Muj celkovy nahled na tento zapas vypada takto
Juznyj by mohl navazat na dobrou hru z 1.kola,vitezstvi chilana predpokladam pouze z duvodu zraneni soupere ,pripadne poud se Michail neslozi psychicky.
Ja osobne bych videl jako spravnou hranici kurzu 1.60-1.65,i kdyz jsem videl nekde 1.75!!! .... me osobne oslovil kurz 1.685 ve stredni hladine duvery ( hlavne z duvodu pristupu ruskych tenistu k nekterym zapasum)
Vsem co pojedou se mnou preji hodne stesti (samozrejme i vsem ostatnim)budeme ho dnes urcite alespon trochu potrebovat.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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co to ,co to :shock: misto osmicek ve statistikach se nam nam tam vetreli najaci mafiani :lol:
takze ted korekce
Michail celkove 54-48
Nicolas trava celkove 5-8
snad se to povedlo :P anebo se nam tady zacina angazovat nejaka neznama skupina organizovaneho zlocinu se svymi cleny :D<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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nadherna analyza - ty mafosi jsou jen "8" a ")" = 8)<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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Uuu! Pinnacle 1.725!<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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.... a nikdo me neupozorni :oops:
H2H 1-1 (na hardu vyhral JUZNYJ ,na antuce MASSU) :D<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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tron tip + maly spam kolem = kurz spadl o 4 centy behem par minut (podotykam ze ja jsem nesazel! :))<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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Jen upřesním:

Vzájemná bilance je 2:1 pro Massu, ale vše víc než dva roky zpátky, tudíž bezpředmětný.

Expekt má slušných 1.68 :wink:<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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Pinnacle dal klesa: 1.699. Nase prace pratele, tvrdim s kurzem 1.2.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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Pinnacle: 1.676<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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dekujeme NEZNAMEMU :lol: za upresneni ,cerpal jsem z databaze do roku 2001,tedy znovu H2H 2-1 pro MASSU na hardu 1-1<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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Ja bych tipoval Massu, prave to zaclo, Juznij vede 2-1 a ma servis, uvidime... :-)<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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Btw. jak to vidite s Novakem, kdyz uz jsme u US Open? V prvnim kole smaznul celkem v pohode Clementa, i kdyz je pravda ze Clement v posledni dobe nehral nic moc...<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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pokud te zajima muj nazor na zapas Novak-Srichaphan tak tady je
Jirka pomerne presvedecive prejel frantika,ovsem Panadorn hraje uplne odlisny styl,casto mu nedela problemy hrat system servis sit,pripadne nabehy na sit v prubehu hry.Disponuje i kvalitnim servisem, i kdyz ten by Novakovi az tak nemelo delat problemy.Podle me bude zakladnim a rozhodujicim prvkem zapasu zkracovane mice,hra na siti a voleje v podani thajce.Jestlize bude nutit Jirku chodit ze zakladni cary pro micky do kurtu bude mit velkou sanci ho porazit,pokud ale zustane Novak se svoji za base lajnou mohl by si hru podrzet.Celkove hodne tezke na tipovani myslim a ocekavam variantu s catejma nabehama na sit v podani thajce a jeho vitezstvi. Oslovil by mne kurz tak 1.58 a vyse,ale myslim ze startoval nekde na hranici 1.45-47<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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No myslel jsem spis obecne, kam by mohl tak dojit... Uvidime, mozna skonci uz ted, zatim to maj 1-1 ;-)<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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TAk dnes to byl zapas s velkym Z,prvni set divocina , ve druhym mel Juzny mraky BP a v TB 5-2 a stejne lost,zacatek tretiho hned ztratil servis malem jsem ho odepsal,ale nevzdal to a otocil celej zapas.Takhle kdyby hral kazdej tenista na ktereho jsem policil ,hned by bylo o par dolarku navic :lol: :lol: :lol:<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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Dobrá práce, gratuluju!

Tyhle dva tenisté patří mezi ty, na které neumím sázet - takže pro mě to byl zápas NO BET.

US Open hraju v podstatě jen na Betfairu přes livebetting, protože zápasy na tři vítězné sety jsou plné překvapení.

Hodně úspěchů v dalších tipech!<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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na PN to slo az k -150 / 1.667 a pak jsem usnul
tron update 8-0.5-2.5/+3.38 jednotek (beru nejvyssi kurz v okamziku tipu)<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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Peknej tip, kdyz Juznij prohraval 2-0 tak uz jsem neveril ze by to jeste otocil... Jinak mam radost z Jirky, zrejme ma slusnou formu, mohl by jit daleko, ale prespristi zapas bohuzel narazi na Nadala... :-(<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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