Politicke props

[Orbital]

Guga: Ono je jedno, jestli to říká kurz libry nebo kurz na bf.

Orbital: Ty za tím třeba vidíš jen establishment a uzavřenou záležitost.

Ale dá se na to dívat i tak jak jsem psal já. Teda jako na kurz 1.32 na to, že pár dní předem se nikdo neodpálí v Londýnském metru za pokřiku allah akbar.

Jsem myslel, že napíšeš něco jako: v poho Tradewinde, mám nastavený stoploss u té libry, kdyby se začala hroutit, když by došlo k atentátu a já byl zrovna v čajovně na rynku. Nebo tak něco.

Ne nemam stoploss. Nepouzivam paku, proste sem prelil asi 8% banku z EUR do liber pac byl dobrej kurz. Nemam rad pujcky. Mozna muj problem, pac treba u toho btc ty rusty mozna za paku stoji (pokud bude rust, bude to stat za to..).

I pres Alahu akbar tam ta sance je malicka. Vidim proste setrvacnost. Pokud by to bylo fakt v pici po tom odpalu co se tyce paniky, tak proste odlozi volby. EU musi projit, i kdyby se meli vsichni posrat. To je ta strategie, kterou zvolili uz pred par roky. Ohne se cokoliv. Myslim, ze to jeste chvili bude fungovat.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

uz se to hybe UK 'Remain' camp gains ground in EU poll, bookmakers lengthen Brexit odds | Reuters
Libra taky posiluje vuci Euru<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

EU referendum poll shock fails to shift bookies' Brexit odds | The Week UK
rekl bych klasickej pripad public betu
lidi co chteji odejit jsou agresivnejsi nez lidi co chteji zustat (jako kdo by chtel zustat v EU,to je spis takova volba z rozumu); takze na to chteji sazet; mainstreamovy lidi co chtej zustat sazet moc nebudou
zvlast v UK kde se trefujou bezne kurzy 5000 s underdogem v tomhle pripade asi nikdo nema problem<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Vlkodlak]

Polls split after Jo Cox death leaves country undecided ahead of EU referendum | Daily Mail Online
takže x zabije y a jakej to ma vliv na publikum, to se ještě rozjíždí petice na zastavení referenda<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

Trump vs Clinton
Koukam na no toss ups: RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House
Pokud k tomuhle dostane Floridu, tak vyhral
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein
Plus teda sem cet ze v pruzkumech se lidi stydi za to ze voli trumpa jako to byvalo s komunistama v Cesku.

Tim chci rict, ze tohle je vsechno v ramci statisticky chyby.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[sstealth]

hanbením to nebude, niektoré prieskumy sú aj telefonické alebo anonymné, a tie rýchle po debate mali zloženie 300 ľudí hlasiacich sa k demokratom a 200 republikanom a vyšli 60:40 pre klintonovu

staršie podebatné video od CNN, ktoré nevyšlo tak jak malo
Here's The 30 Seconds After The Last Debate That CNN Would Rather You Didn't See | Zero Hedge<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[barchen]

2 ways polls might be missing some support for Donald Trump - Vox

Ty pruzkumy pres telefon jsou dlouhodobe vsude presnejsi jak online/na ulici.
Bradley efekt uz treba u poslednich parlamentnich voleb temer nebyl, hlasit se ke komunistum je ted vic cool.

Nejzajimavejsi prognozu ma klasicky 538, navic pekne rozebranou.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

Ja sem ted cet clane, ze ten efekt tam furt je, ale preliva se vzdycky od jednoho k druhemu, podle toho, kdo ma vetsi pruser (coz je teda momentalne Clinton)

Nicmene ta moje uvaha je na typickyho bobo volice, treba i zenskou, hispance nebo i teplouse. Nekoho, kdo se pohybuje v prostredi, kde nesnaseji trumpa a trump o nich rika ty konzervativni zvasty. Jenze tyhle lidi myslim uz to samotny prostredi sere. Nectu blogy lidi,ale dostalo se ke me neco jakoze nejaka mlada levicova holka ma "tajne prani volit trumpa". Je to takovej akt perverze. On celej Trump vyrostl na perverzi spolecnosti, kde lidi citi, ze politicka korektnost je uchylna past, do jaky se chytli, ale nemaji na to to formulovat vedome. Tak hledaji nejakou destrukci. Samozrejme pri vsi korektnosti to neprijmou nikdy vedome. Tzn. to nepriznaji v pruzkumu. Vetsina z tech, co po tom skryte touzi to neprizna ani ve volbach. Ale o nejaky kousek vic nez v pruzkumech mozna ano.

neni divu ze by ho volil i zizek
#1https://www.facebook.com/Channel4New...4211377601939/

#2


edit:
z toho tvyho clanku "majority of voters still say they support Hillary Clinton, even when there’s no one to judge them"
i kdyz tam neni nikdo, tak jsou tam vzdycky ty lidi sami, kdo to budou soudit o to jde...samozrejme i pri samotnych volbach tam budou oni, tak jen diky tomu Trump nevyhraje 100-0, ale i tak kdyz to pojede naostro tak se to muze zvrtnout na obe strany<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[treider]

Ted budou pozadovat vyplacene vyhry na pani Klintonovou zpet? <div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[burila]

prezidentske volby na slovensku 2.kolo: maros sefcovic vyhra za 8,30 v tipsporte, myslim ze tam je obrovska value, vidim to tak 60:40<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[burila]

prezidentske volby na slovensku 2.kolo: maros sefcovic vyhra za 8,30 v tipsporte, myslim ze tam je obrovska value, vidim to tak 60:40

tak uz to vystupalo na 17 dokonca<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[burila]

na slovensku sa ziadne prekvapenie nekonalo: caputova 1,05mil : sefcovic 0,75mil hlasov<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

brexit Apr 2019 - Jun 2019 lay 7.4 ma myslim value<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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