Pidikurz s hodnotou

[Hanes]

No já myslím, že toto dělal i L.Dědič s vlastní pobočkou a procentem z náběru a myslím to je někde i tu popsáno..<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Tradewind]

Tak zaprvé: (1/(1-1/36)-1)*095+1=1,027

Zadruhé to nebylo vůbec jistý.

A zatřetí - haha, žádné zatřetí není. <div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[penis .d]

Tak zaprvé: (1/(1-1/36)-1)*095+1=1,027

Zadruhé to nebylo vůbec jistý.

A zatřetí - haha, žádné zatřetí není.

zabudol si započítat PC... takže 1,01142<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[penis .d]

djokovic berdych
djokovic +2,5 setu 1,013 pinn

murray verdasco
murray +2,5 setu 1,006 pinn<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

pinnacle 1.05 Indy ML
vedou 13 min do konce o 19 bodu<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[penis .d]

Screenshot_2014-11-14-15-44-18-1.png

Screenshot_2014-11-14-15-43-55-1.png<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[penis .d]

Screenshot_2014-11-14-21-25-15.jpg<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[sikulam]

Jedna úvaha pre znalcov tenisu. Kurz Djoko vs. Nedovyjesov. Na betku šiel kurz na Djoka z 1 na 1,01. Pritom pri skreči vracajú vklad. Verim tomu že Djoko by prehral len vtedy keby mal zdravotný problém a pravdepodobne (veľmi blízko 100%) by skrečol. Dotaz: Takže aj takto nízky kurz má hodnotu? (neberiem v úvahu limity na vklad a pod.) Beriem to ako model pre podobné zápasy.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[nerazzurro]

tak 1.05 by mělo hodnotu, takhle to asi nemá ani smysl... i za milion vyhraješ jen 10K a budeš se klepat jak blázen <div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

1.05 vs 1.01.... mezi tim je 50 shades of grey
ja nevim k cemu je prakticky rada, ze 1.05 ma hodnotu, kdyz trh je 1.01
kdyz je trh na 1.01 tak 1.05 ma hodnotu v 99% pripadu plus, protoze to je lay 20, coz je vyrazne lepsi underdog kurz na ten opacny event, nez ma sazkovka (co nabizi 1.01), ktera aspon v prumeru uz i ten kurz ma orizlej

tim chci rict, ze pravdepodobnost ze se trh sekne o takhle moc, se nedeje temer nikdy; nerazurruv vyrok "za 1.05" je logicky spravne, ale k nicemu (ponechavam stranou uvahy o MM)

cimz se snazim naznacit, ze jestli se lidi bavi o tom, jestli neco ma nebo nema value, tak v ty debate nemuzou vystrelit o jednotky vigu nekam vedle... ano stava se to ze trh je tak strasne way off, ze by se tak strasne vyplatilo sazet Nedovyjesova, jak defacto naznacil Nerazurro, ale nestava se to moc casto (kolik na nej moh byt kurz? 40, pote co ho nekdo maxoval za 70 treba [=a vy jste propasli tu prilezitos za 70])

u techhle pidikurzu a maxikurzu se musi vychazet z toho, jak kdysi psal franta o tusim beluccim vs nadalovi, je to par let, kurz byl pres 100... ma ten druhej nebozak na djokovice neco disruptivniho? je jasny ze je po vsech strankach vyrazne horsi, ale je to aspon labil, kterej umi rozhybat lodku, prdnout si na kurtu a vyvest toho vyrazne lepsiho z miry? At ano ci ne, tak se zamyslet jakou ma sanci a z toho odvodit komplementarni kurz. Tohle je ta cesta pro miliardare, co nemusi resit jestli maji bank na to tohle sazet. Kurz je/byl asi udelanej tak jako kdyz hraje 1ni s 170tym. Ale na 170 miste jsou myslim uplne ruzny typy hracu. Plazovy povaleci, prilezitostny fetaci a srandisti s urcitou davkou talentu vs. drici se stabilnim vykonem, ktery si vydelavaj na rodinnej barak, co vedi, ze 35ti pujdou makat do korporace. Ten realnej kurz na Djokovice proti ty druhy skupine by mel byt o hezkych par tisicin mensi, nez proti ty prvni.

+samozrejme motivace djokovice, to je jeste zasadnejsi faktor... nekdo na to asi nalozil barak, treba neco vi, sazet na djoko zde znamena, ze clovek sazi taky proti tomu, ze nekdo, kdo ma dost prachu, nic nevi a je gambler a neni zrovna nahodou soused, co slysel, ze djokovic ubalil delo svy stary nebo si zarezervoval nekde dovolenou<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

ten leicester za 1.22 ted imo hodnotu mit musi, maji prisernej los, na tott ceka ale chelsea<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Tradewind]

Leicester mě letos pokosí neskutečně ... jen takový povzdech ...<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

Betfred prej uz vyplatil vyhry na nej.<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Tradewind]

Z Leicester se stane (pokud se už nestala) celkem dobrá pomůcka pro sázkaře, kteří neradi sází velké kurzy s value. Však to stejně nevyjde, je to kravina, proč bych to sázel - zní jim před odesláním tiketu v hlavě ... když si ale v této nerozhodné chvilce řeknou: dokázal to Leicester s kurzem 5000, proč by nemohlo dopadnout tohle?

Tak to hned dodá odvahu do vsazení jakkoliv vysokého kurzu. <div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[valentyne]

jenom William Hill to stalo 2M liber (nejvyssi bet myslim 79liber x 5000=395k),
celkove sazkovky 14M dolaru
to asi nebudou jen sazky na kdo ziska titul, ale celkove i moneylines a AH...<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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