NFL Week 1

[Orbital]

Spis bys mel jit do jiny sazkovky pro pripad padu kurzu pred ocima.
Za 1.77 nesouhlasim<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[nerazzurro]

to bych rád, ale lepší kurs nikde neni.
Hranice 41 a 41.5 to neni ono, to jsou bezvýznamný čísla, buď 40 a nebo 43 to chce. Vzhledem k Janikowskimu, tam bude FG hodně, on je hold umí z velký dálky... Ale tak kolem 50 bodů čekám...
Hrál bych to býval za 7u, procouchoval jsem to ale no <div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

41 neni bezvyznamny cislo, 41 je hrubym odhadem vyznamnejsi nez 40

41 mas 2 FG, na 40 potrebujes 4 FG, coz je dost, plus 20-20 byt nemuze

41 je slusny magicky cislo

pokud cekas 50 nechapu proc nesazis alt-total<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

jeste dodam, ze na magicnost totals pouzivam hrube pravidlo skore TD:FG 2:1.. jake je skutecne netusim, ale 1:1 to nebude; props na 1st core TD/FG byva cca 1.6 na TD a z toho bych vyvozoval pravdepodobnosti

Samozrejme se tohle lisi s kvalitou kickeru, obran a tim, zda ma tym passing/running offense (GB bude mit vic TD k FG nez jine typy napr a uz jsem na ne trefil hodne middlu na totals typu 21 na pulku)<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[nerazzurro]

tak dneska můžou mít Raiders skore 16 nebo 19, když neni z drivu TD tak tam Janikowski kopne z 50yardů FG v pohodě Broncos 24 či 21 a sme na 40. Pro mě dneska 41 a 42 mimo. Tohle je prostě zápas v poměru TD a FG 50 na 50 :wink I když skutečnost může být zcela jiná....

Poměr 3-1 máš třeba ty TOP offense, ale dost záleží na kickerovi taky, ten kterej umí z dálky tak tam je poměr menší no <div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

Sorry, ale pocitat s 16 nebo 19 je opet uchylarna, i kdyby kicker neumel kopat XP (stava se v NCAA), presto 40 neni dobry cislo. Btw. uz tu 40ku drzim, ale cene se nedalo odolat <div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

42 rozhodne mimo, to souhlasim<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

tohle je nejlepsi, jak tady zas delam debila
pomer TD k FG 1:4 za prvni pulku a ten blb trefi nejdelsi FG v historii NFL
a to jsem sem jeste psal neco na cem budu trvat, nicmene po dnesku to bude vypadat jak vyplod kretena, totiz ze v NFL na kickerovi az tak moc nezalezi, nebot rozdily mezi nima jsou vicemene maly (relativne k NCAA)

to, tak humorny post je pryc a ted by mohlo byt tech 40 <div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[kalikaUK]

prvy nastrel:
Green Bay Packers - New Orleans Saints - U48,5, 1.91 SIA
Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers - Steelers, 2.18 188b
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Detroit Lions - Lions, 2.09 pinn
Chicago Bears - Atlanta Falcons - Bears+3, 1.87 SIA
St. Louis Rams - Philadelphia Eagles - Rams+4.5, 1.93 pinn
Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals - Cincinnati Bengals+7, 1.87 SIA
Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals, u35.5, 1.92 12b
Jacksonville Jaguars - Tennessee Titans - Titans, 2.15 pinn
Arizona Cardinals - Carolina Panthers - Carolina Panthers+7, 1.92 pinn
Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots - Dolphins+7, 1.91 cris
Denver Broncos - Oakland Raiders - Raiders+3, 1.96, sbo

zmenil som nazor:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Detroit Lions - Lions, 2.09 pinn

menim to na:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Detroit Lions - Buccaneers 1.87 SIA za 1.1U

Green Bay Packers - New Orleans Saints - U48,5 L -1U
Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers - Steelers, L -1U
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Detroit Lions - Lions, C -0.01U
Chicago Bears - Atlanta Falcons - Bears+3, W +0.87U
St. Louis Rams - Philadelphia Eagles - Rams+4.5, L -1U
Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals - Cincinnati Bengals+7, W +0.87U
Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals, u35.5, L -1U
Jacksonville Jaguars - Tennessee Titans - Titans,L -1U
Arizona Cardinals - Carolina Panthers - Carolina Panthers+7, push
Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots - Dolphins+7, L -1U
Denver Broncos - Oakland Raiders - Raiders+3, W 0.96U

3W 6L
-3.31U
happy days<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[Orbital]

ja jsem spokojeny, 24ku (43 na zapas) jsem mel na druhou pulku
43 btw je jeste blbejsi cislo nez 40

sledoval jsem cely zapas, libil se mi mnohem vic nez game 1

OAK vypada na perspektivni tym, kdyby nedelali picoviny v obrane (nedisciplinovanosti, plno penalties, nekolik double penalties), tak mohli vyhrat mnohem vic<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[nerazzurro]

jo vsude jine by padlo 40 bodu, ale hold Janikowski je takovy xfactor Raiders, ten 61FG kloboucek dole...

Jinak Orbi nedisciplinovanost obrany je dalsi vec kterou je treba zhodnotit pri overu, nedisciplinova obrana svymi prohresky nejen posune utocici tym kupredu, ale hlavne se zastavi cas- cim vic jasu hry, tim vetsi sance na score! (raiders loni trhli rekord NFL,nejvic penalt od roku 60...)

ted dem na mobilu, tak vecer to vyhodnotim...<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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[nerazzurro]

New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Green Bay Packers (0-0)
Take to over (47)
Rate: 1.909 Pinnacle
Stake: 6u OK

Indianapolis Colts (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0)
Take to Texans (-9)
Rate: 2.04 Pinnacle
Stake: 8u OK

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
Take to Steelers +7.5 and over 29.5 (Teaser 6.5pts)
Rate: 1.909 Pinnacle
Stake: 7u KO

Tennessee Titans(0-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0)
Take to Titans (+1)
Rate: 1.971 Pinnacle
Stake:6u KO

NY Giants - Washigton Redskins over 38 * 7u (1.806 Pinnacle) OK
Ts 6.5pts - Sand Diego Chargers -2,5 and over 35 * 8u (1.909 Pinnacle) OK
Atlanta Falcons -1 * 7u (1.885 Pinnacle) KO
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 * 6u (1.91 BetDSI) KO
St. Louis Rams +4 * 6u (1.91 BetDSI) KO
Dallas Cowboys +6.5 * 6u (1.909 Pinnacle) OK
Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills under 39.5 * 6u (1.962 Pinnacle) KO
Ts 6.5pts - Arizona Cardinals pk nad over 31 * 6u (1.909 Pinnacle) OK
Ts 6pts - Patriots -1 and over 39.5 * 8u (2.00 Pinnacle) OK
Oukland Raiders - Denver Broncos over 40 * 6u (1.775 Pinbet) OK

Celkem 8-6
+11,25u

Week 1 sice co se týče bilance nic moc, ale vyšli bety za nejvíc a zisk je tak slušnej, ROI 12%...
Bills naprosto nečekaně nandali Chiefs 41 bodů, Chiefs skvělá obrana a navíc na stadionu Chiefs, kde je pekelná atmosféra a hraje se tam fakt blbě.
Docela mě dostali i Falcons, taková hrůza... To samí Steelers a dost zklamali i Titans v útoku...

Ale spokojenost, příští Week věřim, že bude líp ještě...<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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