I agree that Boston is the right side of this selection but the value does not lie in the spread here. The most likely scenario with value is a close game won by Boston so the ML should be played.
Formula Real Score Scenario Evaluation:
Orlando Big Win -- 45%
Boston Close Game Win -- 35%
Orlando Close Game Win -- 10%
Boston Big Win -- 10%<div style="font-size: xx-small;color: #0000ff;display: inline-block;text-align: center;width: 100%;">
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